Arizona House

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Arizona Senate / Arizona House

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2020 Election Update

Heading into the 2020 election, Republicans controlled the Arizona House 31-29. Democrats flipped one seat (HD 20) and lost one seat (HD 4) for no net gain. EveryDistrict endorsed Judy Schwiebert who flipped one of the seats in HD 20. EveryDistrict also endorsed Coral Evans (HD 6).

The below table shows 2020 and 2018 election results for the Arizona House. The LDI scores are for the 2020 cycle. EveryDistrict will release new scores and district rankings after the redistricting process.

2018 Election Update

After the 2016 election, Republicans controlled the Arizona State House 25-35. In the 2018 election, Democrats gain four seats; Republicans maintained control 31-29. EveryDistrict endorsed successful Democratic challenger Jennifer Jermaine (HD 18). Democrats also flipped the following three districts: HD 10, HD 17, and HD 28.

EveryDistrict identified four other districts as competitive; EveryDistrict endorsed Felicia French (HD 6) and Hollace Lyon (HD 11). The other two districts were HD 8 and HD 20.

Understanding the Map

EveryDistrict’s Legislative District Index (LDI) is the gold standard of state legislative competitiveness. Our LDI ranks state legislative districts on a scale from 100 to -100, using statewide elections data. Districts with a score of 100 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Democratic candidate receiving 100% of the vote); districts with a score of -100 would vote for statewide Republican candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Republican candidate receiving 100% of the vote). For a more realistic example, a district with a score of 10 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 10 points (meaning we would expect the Democratic state legislative candidate to win with 55% of the vote compared to the Republican winning 45% of the vote).

After the 2018 election, EveryDistrict reviewed and enhanced our LDI system, improving the accuracy of the metric with new methodologies and the most recent electoral data.

For more information about EveryDistrict’s LDI, please click here.