North Carolina House
2020 Election Update
Heading into the 2020 election, Republicans controlled the North Carolina House 65 to 55. Democrats flipped two seats and lost six seats for a net loss of four seats. Republicans now control the chamber 69 to 51. EveryDistrict endorsed both successful challengers, Brian Farkas (HD 9) and Ricky Hurtado (HD 63). Democrats lost HDs 37, 43, 66, 93, 98, and 119. EveryDistrict also endorsed Adam Ericson (HD 20), Frances Jackson (HD 45), Nicole Quick (HD 59), Dan Besse (HD 74), and Gail Young (HD 83).
The below table shows 2020 and 2018 election results for the North Carolina House. The LDI scores are for the 2020 cycle. EveryDistrict will release new scores and district rankings after the redistricting process.
After the 2016 election, Republicans controlled the North Carolina House 74-46. In 2017, Democrat William Brisson switched his party affiliation to Republican, giving Republicans a 75-45 majority.
In the 2018 election, Democrats flipped 12 seats and lost two seats for a 10-seat gain. Republicans now control the chamber 65-55.
Democrats flipped HD 8, HD 25, HD 35, HD 36, HD 37, HD 61, HD 93, HD 98, HD 103, HD 104, HD 105, and HD 119. Democrats lost HD 7 and HD 12.
Understanding the Map
EveryDistrict’s Legislative District Index (LDI) is the gold standard of state legislative competitiveness. Our LDI ranks state legislative districts on a scale from 100 to -100, using statewide elections data. Districts with a score of 100 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Democratic candidate receiving 100% of the vote); districts with a score of -100 would vote for statewide Republican candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Republican candidate receiving 100% of the vote). For a more realistic example, a district with a score of 10 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 10 points (meaning we would expect the Democratic state legislative candidate to win with 55% of the vote compared to the Republican winning 45% of the vote).
After the 2018 election, EveryDistrict reviewed and enhanced our LDI system, improving the accuracy of the metric with new methodologies and the most recent electoral data.
For more information about EveryDistrict’s LDI, please click here.